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Red96
3473142.3
589117.0
2710148.9
Blue303
1622185.5
2496107.1
3309216.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248419010020030050060070080096303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2710
Unranked
148.90.0
148.9148.9
Auto18.2
Teleop117.4
End17.1
blue by 67.7
3309
Unranked
216.60.0
216.6216.6
Auto24.5
Teleop156.6
End37.4
Second
3473
Unranked
142.30.0
142.3142.3
Auto16.9
Teleop112.8
End15.0
blue by 43.2
1622
Unranked
185.50.0
185.5185.5
Auto19.2
Teleop139.3
End25.6
Third
589
Unranked
117.00.0
117.0117.0
Auto17.1
Teleop88.7
End15.1
red by 9.9
2496
Unranked
107.10.0
107.1107.1
Auto17.7
Teleop81.9
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest odds82%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds47%Face the Boss odds