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Red113
3473142.3
682196.3
5851118.8
Blue261
589117.0
1622185.5
4014132.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2283850100300500600700800113261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3473
Unranked
142.30.0
142.3142.3
Auto16.9
Teleop112.8
End15.0
blue by 43.2
1622
Unranked
185.50.0
185.5185.5
Auto19.2
Teleop139.3
End25.6
Second
5851
Unranked
118.80.0
118.8118.8
Auto18.5
Teleop88.4
End13.6
blue by 14.0
4014
Unranked
132.90.0
132.9132.9
Auto19.0
Teleop100.6
End11.7
Third
6821
Unranked
96.30.0
96.396.3
Auto16.8
Teleop78.0
End1.2
blue by 20.8
589
Unranked
117.00.0
117.0117.0
Auto17.1
Teleop88.7
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest odds67%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss odds5%Face the Boss odds