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Red256
3476207.4
4984160.0
2496107.1
Blue181
4056119.3
4123108.8
2710148.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4032490100200300500600700800256181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
207.40.0
207.4207.4
Auto25.0
Teleop144.5
End37.1
red by 58.5
148.90.0
148.9148.9
Auto18.2
Teleop117.4
End17.1
Second
4984
#11
160.00.0
160.0160.0
Auto17.1
Teleop113.9
End29.5
red by 40.6
4056
#13
119.30.0
119.3119.3
Auto12.3
Teleop93.7
End13.4
Third
2496
#15
107.10.0
107.1107.1
Auto17.7
Teleop81.9
End10.4
blue by 1.7
4123
#14
108.80.0
108.8108.8
Auto13.4
Teleop84.4
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest odds31%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
65%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds