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Red190
4322159.0
3128176.5
691130.7
Blue360
3473142.3
5810126.1
1197171.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355325100200400500600190360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#10
176.50.0
176.5176.5
Auto21.0
Teleop124.1
End31.7
red by 5.1
171.40.0
171.4171.4
Auto18.2
Teleop135.0
End17.6
Second
159.00.0
159.0159.0
Auto20.9
Teleop113.2
End25.4
red by 16.7
142.30.0
142.3142.3
Auto16.9
Teleop112.8
End15.0
Third
691
#16
130.70.0
130.7130.7
Auto15.6
Teleop93.6
End24.3
red by 4.6
126.10.0
126.1126.1
Auto16.9
Teleop100.7
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest odds61%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds