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Red223
5805161.8
3473142.3
3309216.6
Blue401
5851118.8
3476207.4
3647162.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4053310200600800223401

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216.60.0
216.6216.6
Auto24.5
Teleop156.6
End37.4
red by 9.2
207.40.0
207.4207.4
Auto25.0
Teleop144.5
End37.1
Second
5805
#12
161.80.0
161.8161.8
Auto18.5
Teleop116.3
End28.7
blue by 1.0
162.80.0
162.8162.8
Auto16.7
Teleop118.4
End31.6
Third
142.30.0
142.3142.3
Auto16.9
Teleop112.8
End15.0
red by 23.5
118.80.0
118.8118.8
Auto18.5
Teleop88.4
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest odds80%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
54%Face the Boss odds73%Face the Boss odds