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Red343
3309216.6
1197171.4
4056119.3
Blue40
4123108.8
3128176.5
5851118.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412254010020030050060070034340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216.60.0
216.6216.6
Auto24.5
Teleop156.6
End37.4
red by 40.1
3128
#10
176.50.0
176.5176.5
Auto21.0
Teleop124.1
End31.7
Second
171.40.0
171.4171.4
Auto18.2
Teleop135.0
End17.6
red by 52.6
118.80.0
118.8118.8
Auto18.5
Teleop88.4
End13.6
Third
4056
#13
119.30.0
119.3119.3
Auto12.3
Teleop93.7
End13.4
red by 10.5
4123
#14
108.80.0
108.8108.8
Auto13.4
Teleop84.4
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest odds65%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
55%Face the Boss odds11%Face the Boss odds