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Red114
4056119.3
4322159.0
5851118.8
Blue354
1197171.4
691130.7
4123108.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27836602006008001,000114354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.00.0
159.0159.0
Auto20.9
Teleop113.2
End25.4
blue by 12.4
171.40.0
171.4171.4
Auto18.2
Teleop135.0
End17.6
Second
4056
#13
119.30.0
119.3119.3
Auto12.3
Teleop93.7
End13.4
blue by 11.4
691
#16
130.70.0
130.7130.7
Auto15.6
Teleop93.6
End24.3
Third
118.80.0
118.8118.8
Auto18.5
Teleop88.4
End13.6
red by 10.0
4123
#14
108.80.0
108.8108.8
Auto13.4
Teleop84.4
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest odds44%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds5%Face the Boss odds