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Red286
4984160.0
3647162.8
1197171.4
Blue249
2496107.1
3473142.3
4322159.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4202720100200500600700800286249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.40.0
171.4171.4
Auto18.2
Teleop135.0
End17.6
red by 12.4
159.00.0
159.0159.0
Auto20.9
Teleop113.2
End25.4
Second
162.80.0
162.8162.8
Auto16.7
Teleop118.4
End31.6
red by 20.5
142.30.0
142.3142.3
Auto16.9
Teleop112.8
End15.0
Third
4984
#11
160.00.0
160.0160.0
Auto17.1
Teleop113.9
End29.5
red by 52.8
2496
#15
107.10.0
107.1107.1
Auto17.7
Teleop81.9
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest odds62%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
45%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds