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Red229
2710148.9
5810126.1
3128176.5
Blue401
5805161.8
4056119.3
3476207.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349337200300400500600229401

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#10
176.50.0
176.5176.5
Auto21.0
Teleop124.1
End31.7
blue by 30.8
207.40.0
207.4207.4
Auto25.0
Teleop144.5
End37.1
Second
148.90.0
148.9148.9
Auto18.2
Teleop117.4
End17.1
blue by 12.9
5805
#12
161.80.0
161.8161.8
Auto18.5
Teleop116.3
End28.7
Third
126.10.0
126.1126.1
Auto16.9
Teleop100.7
End7.6
red by 6.8
4056
#13
119.30.0
119.3119.3
Auto12.3
Teleop93.7
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest odds69%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss odds59%Face the Boss odds