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Red15
691130.7
4056119.3
5805161.8
Blue193
3309216.6
4322159.0
3647162.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254459010020030040050060070080015193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5805
#12
161.80.0
161.8161.8
Auto18.5
Teleop116.3
End28.7
blue by 54.8
216.60.0
216.6216.6
Auto24.5
Teleop156.6
End37.4
Second
691
#16
130.70.0
130.7130.7
Auto15.6
Teleop93.6
End24.3
blue by 32.1
162.80.0
162.8162.8
Auto16.7
Teleop118.4
End31.6
Third
4056
#13
119.30.0
119.3119.3
Auto12.3
Teleop93.7
End13.4
blue by 39.7
159.00.0
159.0159.0
Auto20.9
Teleop113.2
End25.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest odds65%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss odds79%Face the Boss odds