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Red318
3473142.3
1197171.4
3128176.5
Blue306
2496107.1
2710148.9
3309216.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32036302006008001,000318306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#10
176.50.0
176.5176.5
Auto21.0
Teleop124.1
End31.7
blue by 40.1
216.60.0
216.6216.6
Auto24.5
Teleop156.6
End37.4
Second
171.40.0
171.4171.4
Auto18.2
Teleop135.0
End17.6
red by 22.6
148.90.0
148.9148.9
Auto18.2
Teleop117.4
End17.1
Third
142.30.0
142.3142.3
Auto16.9
Teleop112.8
End15.0
red by 35.2
2496
#15
107.10.0
107.1107.1
Auto17.7
Teleop81.9
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest odds82%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss odds48%Face the Boss odds