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Red316
4486146.6
3965147.8
3476207.4
Blue316
2658152.1
2637142.7
702140.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41428002006008001,000316316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
Unranked
207.4
Auto25.0
Teleop144.5
End37.1
red by 55.2
2658
Unranked
152.1
Auto19.7
Teleop112.7
End20.6
Second
3965
Unranked
147.8
Auto20.5
Teleop102.4
End26.0
red by 5.0
2637
Unranked
142.7
Auto20.8
Teleop111.7
End9.4
Third
4486
Unranked
146.6
Auto15.4
Teleop105.5
End24.8
red by 6.1
702
Unranked
140.5
Auto19.5
Teleop105.4
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest odds83%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
54%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds