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Red188
4123108.8
2658152.1
5805161.8
Blue310
999993.1
3255183.7
4486146.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31634302006008001,0001,2001,4001,600188310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5805
Unranked
161.80.0
161.8161.8
Auto18.5
Teleop116.3
End28.7
blue by 21.9
3255
Unranked
183.70.0
183.7183.7
Auto23.5
Teleop133.2
End27.4
Second
2658
Unranked
152.10.0
152.1152.1
Auto19.7
Teleop112.7
End20.6
red by 5.6
4486
Unranked
146.60.0
146.6146.6
Auto15.4
Teleop105.5
End24.8
Third
4123
Unranked
108.80.0
108.8108.8
Auto13.4
Teleop84.4
End16.2
red by 15.8
9999
Unranked
93.10.0
93.193.1
Auto12.0
Teleop74.8
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest odds23%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss odds2%Face the Boss odds