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Red361
3255183.7
2658152.1
5810126.1
Blue192
2102152.6
6995106.6
702140.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3982500200600800361192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
Unranked
183.70.0
183.7183.7
Auto23.5
Teleop133.2
End27.4
red by 31.1
2102
Unranked
152.60.0
152.6152.6
Auto21.3
Teleop114.3
End17.4
Second
2658
Unranked
152.10.0
152.1152.1
Auto19.7
Teleop112.7
End20.6
red by 11.6
702
Unranked
140.50.0
140.5140.5
Auto19.5
Teleop105.4
End13.8
Third
5810
Unranked
126.10.0
126.1126.1
Auto16.9
Teleop100.7
End7.6
red by 19.5
6995
Unranked
106.60.0
106.6106.6
Auto14.2
Teleop82.2
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest odds62%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds10%Face the Boss odds