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Red390
4486146.6
2102152.6
4123108.8
Blue211
4763115.3
5805161.8
2637142.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342312100200400500600700390211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
Unranked
152.60.0
152.6152.6
Auto21.3
Teleop114.3
End17.4
blue by 9.2
5805
Unranked
161.80.0
161.8161.8
Auto18.5
Teleop116.3
End28.7
Second
4486
Unranked
146.60.0
146.6146.6
Auto15.4
Teleop105.5
End24.8
red by 3.8
2637
Unranked
142.70.0
142.7142.7
Auto20.8
Teleop111.7
End9.4
Third
4123
Unranked
108.80.0
108.8108.8
Auto13.4
Teleop84.4
End16.2
blue by 6.5
4763
Unranked
115.30.0
115.3115.3
Auto12.5
Teleop86.7
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest odds45%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss odds7%Face the Boss odds