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Red281
2658152.1
4056119.3
3476207.4
Blue305
999993.1
3965147.8
3309216.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3593270100200400500600700281305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
Unranked
207.40.0
207.4207.4
Auto25.0
Teleop144.5
End37.1
blue by 9.2
3309
Unranked
216.60.0
216.6216.6
Auto24.5
Teleop156.6
End37.4
Second
2658
Unranked
152.10.0
152.1152.1
Auto19.7
Teleop112.7
End20.6
red by 4.4
3965
Unranked
147.80.0
147.8147.8
Auto20.5
Teleop102.4
End26.0
Third
4056
Unranked
119.30.0
119.3119.3
Auto12.3
Teleop93.7
End13.4
red by 26.2
9999
Unranked
93.10.0
93.193.1
Auto12.0
Teleop74.8
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest odds31%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
43%Face the Boss odds47%Face the Boss odds