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Qual 162018 Bayou Regional
Red90
1912108.6
728892.4
417993.5
Blue250
578596.5
6489109.7
2221116.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions216282010040050060090250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1912
#26
108.60.1
108.9→109.0
Auto15.8
Teleop84.8
End8.9
blue by 7.7
2221
#19
116.39.2
87.1→96.3
Auto13.5
Teleop93.5
End8.4
Second
4179
#55
93.58.2
78.5→86.6
Auto13.8
Teleop73.7
End2.3
blue by 16.2
6489
#42
109.711.9
87.6→99.4
Auto14.5
Teleop87.7
End10.4
Third
7288
#49
92.48.8
77.7→86.6
Auto13.7
Teleop70.8
End9.1
blue by 4.1
5785
#52
96.59.1
77.5→86.6
Auto15.1
Teleop75.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed