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Red271
4209134.3
6677119.9
2333148.2
Blue362
2078127.8
6055171.2
5864117.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324263100200300400500271362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2333
#21
148.21.1
147.8149.0
Auto18.1
Teleop115.8
End15.6
blue by 23.0
171.22.6
148.3150.9
Auto25.1
Teleop117.1
End30.8
Second
4209
#46
134.30.8
127.4128.2
Auto16.0
Teleop105.3
End15.0
red by 6.4
2078
#20
127.89.2
81.290.4
Auto14.6
Teleop96.4
End15.0
Third
6677
#34
119.914.0
79.393.3
Auto14.3
Teleop92.3
End12.5
red by 2.3
5864
#31
117.510.7
83.894.4
Auto16.0
Teleop89.2
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed