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Qual 212018 Bayou Regional
Red190
3468110.5
2221116.3
3039138.0
Blue209
7316101.9
4087161.1
516888.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276265100150200300350400450500190209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#16
138.00.4
137.8→137.4
Auto19.1
Teleop106.9
End14.3
blue by 23.2
4087
#5
161.11.5
149.7→151.2
Auto20.4
Teleop120.7
End20.3
Second
2221
#19Sur
116.35.9
96.3→102.2
Auto13.5
Teleop93.5
End8.4
red by 14.4
7316
#45
101.96.3
87.6→93.9
Auto13.9
Teleop82.2
End7.7
Third
3468
#47
110.57.9
88.3→96.2
Auto15.6
Teleop83.6
End14.1
red by 22.3
5168
#51
88.21.0
95.2→96.2
Auto13.6
Teleop70.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed