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Qual 222018 Bayou Regional
Red190
4336117.6
1912108.6
6677119.9
Blue290
6103105.3
281143.2
6923100.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245295100150200350400450500190290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6677
#34
119.910.1
93.3→103.4
Auto14.3
Teleop92.3
End12.5
blue by 23.3
281
#11
143.22.9
133.1→136.0
Auto18.2
Teleop106.2
End16.7
Second
4336
#44
117.63.1
93.1→96.2
Auto16.0
Teleop86.1
End17.3
red by 12.3
6103
#25
105.34.0
90.7→94.6
Auto17.4
Teleop78.0
End8.3
Third
1912
#26
108.60.7
109.0→108.3
Auto15.8
Teleop84.8
End8.9
red by 7.9
6923
#48
100.77.1
87.6→94.7
Auto14.0
Teleop84.3
End-2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed