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Qual 232018 Bayou Regional
Red254
3946100.8
4053105.0
3991139.6
Blue138
5864117.5
433591.7
5953106.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2872190100400500254138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3991
#6
139.61.4
132.3→133.7
Auto17.3
Teleop108.9
End11.7
red by 22.1
5864
#31
117.59.8
94.4→104.3
Auto16.0
Teleop89.2
End12.2
Second
4053
#15
105.07.1
85.5→92.6
Auto15.4
Teleop84.4
End6.2
blue by 1.3
5953
#43
106.32.6
92.4→95.1
Auto14.8
Teleop84.9
End10.4
Third
3946
#28
100.87.3
85.3→92.6
Auto14.2
Teleop83.5
End3.4
red by 9.2
4335
#53
91.72.2
99.3→101.4
Auto11.8
Teleop75.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed