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Qual 242018 Bayou Regional
Red218
4209134.3
596598.3
578596.5
Blue300
7275110.9
6068113.6
7331136.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248258100150200300350400450218300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4209
#46
134.30.9
128.2→129.0
Auto16.0
Teleop105.3
End15.0
blue by 2.5
7331
#29
136.811.8
92.3→104.1
Auto15.7
Teleop104.3
End19.6
Second
5965
#54
98.36.5
88.6→95.1
Auto12.9
Teleop75.8
End3.1
blue by 15.3
6068
#23
113.64.5
89.0→93.6
Auto14.6
Teleop89.5
End10.4
Third
5785
#52
96.55.8
86.6→92.4
Auto15.1
Teleop75.5
End3.4
blue by 14.4
7275
#13
110.97.9
91.1→98.9
Auto18.0
Teleop83.6
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed