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Red169
433591.7
5892138.8
578596.5
Blue349
3337131.2
4353117.8
281143.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286294100200400500169349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5892
#24
138.81.8
136.4138.2
Auto16.6
Teleop108.3
End15.4
blue by 4.4
281
#11
143.22.0
136.0137.9
Auto18.2
Teleop106.2
End16.7
Second
5785
#52
96.54.3
92.496.7
Auto15.1
Teleop75.5
End3.4
blue by 34.7
3337
#30
131.20.4
122.7123.1
Auto17.2
Teleop98.2
End18.6
Third
4335
#53
91.70.3
101.4101.2
Auto11.8
Teleop75.9
End0.2
blue by 26.2
4353
#40
117.81.4
97.098.4
Auto15.8
Teleop89.0
End19.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed