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Qual 302018 Bayou Regional
Red362
1927114.7
3937180.0
3039138.0
Blue172
1912108.6
7331136.8
4209134.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347251100200300400500362172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#8
180.00.9
171.6→172.6
Auto24.3
Teleop133.7
End22.0
red by 43.2
7331
#29
136.89.8
104.1→113.8
Auto15.7
Teleop104.3
End19.6
Second
3039
#16
138.01.0
137.4→136.4
Auto19.1
Teleop106.9
End14.3
red by 3.7
4209
#46
134.30.8
129.0→129.9
Auto16.0
Teleop105.3
End15.0
Third
1927
#35
114.74.9
98.2→103.0
Auto15.0
Teleop87.1
End11.6
red by 6.1
1912
#26
108.60.7
108.3→107.6
Auto15.8
Teleop84.8
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed