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Red393
3753135.6
4087161.1
59097.4
Blue97
2333148.2
7275110.9
578596.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28728010020040050039397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.10.6
151.8152.4
Auto20.4
Teleop120.7
End20.3
red by 12.9
2333
#21
148.20.4
149.4149.0
Auto18.1
Teleop115.8
End15.6
Second
135.64.9
109.9114.7
Auto16.1
Teleop106.6
End13.4
red by 24.7
7275
#13
110.93.1
106.0109.1
Auto18.0
Teleop83.6
End12.6
Third
590
#39
97.41.6
92.594.1
Auto15.5
Teleop74.8
End8.4
red by 0.9
5785
#52
96.50.9
96.797.6
Auto15.1
Teleop75.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed