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Red372
2078127.8
1912108.6
5953106.3
Blue190
516888.2
5863105.3
5864117.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232260100200300400500372190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2078
#20
127.86.8
106.2113.1
Auto14.6
Teleop96.4
End15.0
red by 10.3
5864
#31
117.53.7
109.1112.8
Auto16.0
Teleop89.2
End12.2
Second
1912
#26
108.60.8
107.6106.8
Auto15.8
Teleop84.8
End8.9
red by 3.2
5863
#37
105.32.6
100.2102.8
Auto14.5
Teleop81.7
End9.2
Third
5953
#43
106.31.0
95.194.1
Auto14.8
Teleop84.9
End10.4
red by 18.1
5168
#51
88.21.3
95.293.9
Auto13.6
Teleop70.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed