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Red254
364191.0
2183134.8
665292.4
Blue337
2992166.0
6103105.3
5997139.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3102660100200400500600254337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#4
191.02.0
180.3182.3
Auto24.7
Teleop135.6
End29.7
red by 25.0
166.01.8
152.6154.3
Auto18.6
Teleop125.8
End22.4
Second
2183
#41
134.80.7
134.7134.0
Auto14.8
Teleop103.7
End17.3
blue by 4.5
5997
#33
139.35.6
110.4115.9
Auto15.7
Teleop103.6
End23.7
Third
6652
#50
92.42.2
100.998.8
Auto14.9
Teleop69.5
End8.2
blue by 13.0
6103
#25
105.30.0
97.097.0
Auto17.4
Teleop78.0
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned