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Red198
6923100.7
2221116.3
4209134.3
Blue407
456168.0
6898119.3
3337131.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2323310100200300400500198407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4209
#46
134.30.7
130.3131.0
Auto16.0
Teleop105.3
End15.0
blue by 33.7
456
#1
168.01.0
157.3158.3
Auto19.8
Teleop126.0
End25.3
Second
2221
#19
116.31.6
106.0107.6
Auto13.5
Teleop93.5
End8.4
blue by 15.0
3337
#30
131.20.6
124.0124.6
Auto17.2
Teleop98.2
End18.6
Third
6923
#48
100.71.2
101.2102.4
Auto14.0
Teleop84.3
End-2.1
blue by 18.6
6898
#17
119.31.5
112.0113.6
Auto15.3
Teleop94.1
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed