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Qual 602018 Bayou Regional
Red171
433591.7
4978114.9
6898119.3
Blue263
2333148.2
6103105.3
1927114.7
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2293070100200400500171263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6898
#17
119.33.5
113.6→117.0
Auto15.3
Teleop94.1
End11.4
blue by 29.0
2333
#21
148.20.5
147.4→146.9
Auto18.1
Teleop115.8
End15.6
Second
4978
#10
114.92.5
104.9→107.4
Auto15.6
Teleop85.7
End13.1
red by 0.1
1927
#35
114.71.4
109.8→111.2
Auto15.0
Teleop87.1
End11.6
Third
4335
#53
91.73.3
98.5→95.2
Auto11.8
Teleop75.9
End0.2
blue by 13.7
6103
#25
105.32.6
100.0→102.7
Auto17.4
Teleop78.0
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed