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Qual 612018 Bayou Regional
Red287
281143.2
728892.4
3946100.8
Blue257
6055171.2
59097.4
665292.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2412960100200400500600287257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#11
143.20.2
141.2→141.1
Auto18.2
Teleop106.2
End16.7
blue by 28.0
6055
#7
171.22.4
163.3→165.6
Auto25.1
Teleop117.1
End30.8
Second
3946
#28
100.80.4
99.2→99.6
Auto14.2
Teleop83.5
End3.4
red by 3.4
590
#39
97.40.4
97.7→97.3
Auto15.5
Teleop74.8
End8.4
Third
7288
#49
92.41.2
93.3→92.1
Auto13.7
Teleop70.8
End9.1
Level
6652
#50
92.42.1
97.1→95.0
Auto14.9
Teleop69.5
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed