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Red391
1421168.5
578596.5
5997139.3
Blue103
4053105.0
6923100.7
5819117.9
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3192000100400500391103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168.52.8
154.5157.3
Auto17.3
Teleop124.5
End30.1
red by 50.6
5819
#36
117.90.9
119.9118.9
Auto16.2
Teleop91.1
End13.6
Second
5997
#33
139.36.7
115.9122.6
Auto15.7
Teleop103.6
End23.7
red by 34.3
4053
#15
105.00.6
105.2105.8
Auto15.4
Teleop84.4
End6.2
Third
5785
#52
96.50.4
94.994.5
Auto15.1
Teleop75.5
End3.4
blue by 4.2
6923
#48
100.71.1
102.4103.5
Auto14.0
Teleop84.3
End-2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed