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Red517
238215.8
125211.5
4311109.3
Blue238
2523136.4
246137.4
492997.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions467216100300400600700800517238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#4
215.80.1
214.8214.9
Auto26.8
Teleop163.4
End25.7
red by 78.4
246
#11
137.40.2
137.0137.2
Auto21.7
Teleop102.2
End14.7
Second
125
#1
211.50.9
206.7207.6
Auto28.8
Teleop154.7
End31.6
red by 75.1
2523
#16
136.40.4
135.6136.0
Auto16.6
Teleop97.4
End26.0
Third
4311
#31
109.30.2
108.0108.2
Auto17.8
Teleop84.7
End7.6
red by 11.6
4929
#41
97.70.1
97.897.8
Auto13.3
Teleop72.5
End12.0