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Semifinal 1-12018 NE District Greater Boston Event
Red464
238215.8
125211.5
4311109.3
Blue170
6201149.2
4909170.8
5494132.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions428280100200500600700464170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#4
215.80.1
215.1→215.2
Auto26.8
Teleop163.4
End25.7
red by 45.0
4909
#5
170.80.3
170.3→170.7
Auto18.8
Teleop130.3
End23.7
Second
125
#1
211.50.8
208.4→209.2
Auto28.8
Teleop154.7
End31.6
red by 62.3
6201
#7
149.20.1
149.2→149.2
Auto19.3
Teleop116.1
End11.4
Third
4311
#31
109.30.2
108.4→108.6
Auto17.8
Teleop84.7
End7.6
blue by 22.9
5494
#24
132.20.5
131.4→131.9
Auto17.3
Teleop102.3
End13.6