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Red328
6201149.2
4909170.8
5494132.2
Blue276
2342149.4
1721162.9
5752108.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349320200400500600328276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.80.3
169.7170.1
Auto18.8
Teleop130.3
End23.7
red by 7.9
162.90.7
161.6162.3
Auto18.1
Teleop116.6
End30.5
Second
149.20.1
149.0149.1
Auto19.3
Teleop116.1
End11.4
blue by 0.1
2342
#13
149.40.4
148.7149.1
Auto18.4
Teleop117.9
End12.0
Third
5494
#24
132.20.5
130.5131.0
Auto17.3
Teleop102.3
End13.6
red by 23.5
5752
#39
108.70.3
108.2108.5
Auto16.7
Teleop83.0
End11.0