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Red439
238215.8
125211.5
4311109.3
Blue247
6201149.2
4909170.8
5494132.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434273100200400500600700439247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#4
215.80.2
215.2215.4
Auto26.8
Teleop163.4
End25.7
red by 45.0
170.80.2
170.7170.8
Auto18.8
Teleop130.3
End23.7
Second
125
#1
211.50.8
209.2210.0
Auto28.8
Teleop154.7
End31.6
red by 62.3
149.20.0
149.2149.2
Auto19.3
Teleop116.1
End11.4
Third
4311
#31
109.30.2
108.6108.8
Auto17.8
Teleop84.7
End7.6
blue by 22.9
5494
#24
132.20.3
131.9132.2
Auto17.3
Teleop102.3
End13.6