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Red166
88172.5
885123.8
6161117.2
Blue404
1965122.3
3597132.4
238215.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325336200250300350400450166404

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#23
172.50.3
183.7183.9
Auto20.9
Teleop136.8
End12.6
blue by 43.4
238
#4
215.80.3
207.4207.7
Auto26.8
Teleop163.4
End25.7
Second
885
#30
123.80.8
130.8130.0
Auto15.6
Teleop96.5
End12.4
blue by 8.6
132.41.9
116.9118.8
Auto16.4
Teleop101.0
End17.2
Third
6161
#29
117.20.2
118.9118.7
Auto18.5
Teleop83.8
End12.4
blue by 5.1
1965
#25
122.31.5
123.2121.7
Auto15.9
Teleop92.5
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsMissed59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed