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Red305
7269105.8
5962127.1
6763173.1
Blue298
2084136.8
1922112.9
5563149.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307303200250350400450305298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173.12.3
152.7155.0
Auto20.4
Teleop134.7
End17.9
red by 23.5
5563
#14
149.70.7
143.3144.0
Auto16.0
Teleop117.9
End15.7
Second
5962
#36
127.10.1
129.0128.9
Auto18.0
Teleop97.0
End10.0
blue by 9.7
2084
#18
136.80.9
137.2136.4
Auto17.9
Teleop106.8
End12.9
Third
7269
#28
105.82.1
89.791.8
Auto15.9
Teleop80.3
End9.3
blue by 7.1
1922
#21
112.91.0
116.8115.8
Auto15.8
Teleop81.6
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed