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Qual 302018 NE District Greater Boston Event
Red428
69124.2
6933176.8
7240121.1
Blue173
3467129.6
5491103.8
6690116.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3482300100200300400500600428173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6933
#3
176.82.0
164.0→166.0
Auto24.2
Teleop133.0
End17.9
red by 47.1
3467
#22
129.61.6
134.0→132.4
Auto19.4
Teleop103.0
End9.8
Second
69
#20
124.20.2
120.2→120.4
Auto17.7
Teleop93.8
End16.0
red by 7.3
6690
#27
116.80.1
118.4→118.3
Auto16.7
Teleop87.4
End12.3
Third
7240
#17
121.10.3
114.6→114.9
Auto17.3
Teleop90.2
End12.7
red by 17.3
5491
#40
103.81.0
104.4→105.4
Auto13.2
Teleop78.1
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed