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Red152
3597132.4
97117.2
630192.3
Blue410
2877180.6
246137.4
3499104.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2163510100300400500600700800152410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
132.42.3
118.8121.1
Auto16.4
Teleop101.0
End17.2
blue by 48.3
180.62.3
166.2168.5
Auto24.0
Teleop134.8
End19.8
Second
97
#19
117.21.5
110.1111.6
Auto17.0
Teleop86.8
End13.7
blue by 20.2
246
#11
137.40.9
135.4134.5
Auto21.7
Teleop102.2
End14.7
Third
6301
#32
92.30.0
91.891.8
Auto13.4
Teleop73.2
End6.7
blue by 12.5
3499
#34
104.80.5
101.5102.0
Auto14.3
Teleop76.2
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed