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Red239
492997.7
6529111.0
2423123.1
Blue385
885123.8
4909170.8
7266113.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2103680100300400500600700239385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2423
#35
123.11.6
116.8118.4
Auto15.1
Teleop94.5
End12.7
blue by 47.8
170.83.5
153.9157.4
Auto18.8
Teleop130.3
End23.7
Second
6529
#38
111.00.6
102.5103.1
Auto15.0
Teleop87.6
End9.1
blue by 12.8
885
#30
123.81.6
130.0128.4
Auto15.6
Teleop96.5
End12.4
Third
4929
#41
97.71.4
100.499.0
Auto13.3
Teleop72.5
End12.0
blue by 15.8
7266
#33
113.51.5
110.3111.8
Auto16.5
Teleop84.1
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
8%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed