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Red216
7269105.8
4311109.3
6690116.8
Blue261
5962127.1
3597132.4
5491103.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2393250100200400500600216261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6690
#27
116.80.8
118.3117.5
Auto16.7
Teleop87.4
End12.3
blue by 15.5
132.41.6
121.1122.7
Auto16.4
Teleop101.0
End17.2
Second
4311
#31
109.30.5
102.5103.1
Auto17.8
Teleop84.7
End7.6
blue by 17.8
5962
#36
127.10.5
128.9129.4
Auto18.0
Teleop97.0
End10.0
Third
7269
#28
105.82.9
91.894.7
Auto15.9
Teleop80.3
End9.3
red by 2.0
5491
#40
103.80.1
105.4105.4
Auto13.2
Teleop78.1
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed