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Red292
246137.4
2713133.2
4034116.4
Blue273
1965122.3
6933176.8
2523136.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271370100200300400500600292273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
#11
137.40.1
134.5134.4
Auto21.7
Teleop102.2
End14.7
blue by 39.4
176.82.7
166.0168.7
Auto24.2
Teleop133.0
End17.9
Second
2713
#10
133.20.7
130.8130.1
Auto19.9
Teleop95.4
End17.8
blue by 3.2
2523
#16
136.40.9
130.9131.8
Auto16.6
Teleop97.4
End26.0
Third
4034
#15
116.41.0
116.8117.8
Auto15.4
Teleop89.8
End11.0
blue by 5.9
1965
#25
122.30.2
121.2120.9
Auto15.9
Teleop92.5
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed