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Red193
238215.8
3499104.8
6529111.0
Blue463
125211.5
5563149.7
6933176.8
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2384210100200300500600700193463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#4
215.81.0
205.8206.9
Auto26.8
Teleop163.4
End25.7
red by 4.3
125
#1
211.51.9
183.1185.0
Auto28.8
Teleop154.7
End31.6
Second
6529
#38
111.01.0
104.6103.6
Auto15.0
Teleop87.6
End9.1
blue by 65.8
176.81.1
159.3160.4
Auto24.2
Teleop133.0
End17.9
Third
3499
#34
104.80.4
102.2101.8
Auto14.3
Teleop76.2
End13.5
blue by 44.8
5563
#14
149.70.7
141.2141.9
Auto16.0
Teleop117.9
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed