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Red285
6201149.2
6690116.8
1922112.9
Blue178
97117.2
4311109.3
5494132.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310273150200250350400450285178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.21.5
135.6137.0
Auto19.3
Teleop116.1
End11.4
red by 17.0
5494
#24
132.21.1
128.0129.1
Auto17.3
Teleop102.3
End13.6
Second
6690
#27
116.80.2
118.9119.1
Auto16.7
Teleop87.4
End12.3
blue by 0.4
97
#19
117.20.1
108.7108.8
Auto17.0
Teleop86.8
End13.7
Third
1922
#21
112.90.5
121.6121.1
Auto15.8
Teleop81.6
End16.2
red by 3.6
4311
#31
109.30.3
103.3103.5
Auto17.8
Teleop84.7
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed