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Red253
2423123.1
2713133.2
5491103.8
Blue335
7269105.8
97117.2
5563149.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2803150100200400500600700253335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2713
#10
133.20.4
130.1130.4
Auto19.9
Teleop95.4
End17.8
blue by 16.5
5563
#14
149.70.7
147.1147.8
Auto16.0
Teleop117.9
End15.7
Second
2423
#35
123.10.5
121.8122.3
Auto15.1
Teleop94.5
End12.7
red by 5.8
97
#19
117.21.0
115.3116.3
Auto17.0
Teleop86.8
End13.7
Third
5491
#40
103.80.1
104.7104.6
Auto13.2
Teleop78.1
End13.3
blue by 2.0
7269
#28
105.82.1
99.8102.0
Auto15.9
Teleop80.3
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed