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Red281
69124.2
5752108.7
4909170.8
Blue286
630192.3
246137.4
6201149.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312293200250350400450281286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.81.6
164.6166.2
Auto18.8
Teleop130.3
End23.7
red by 21.6
149.21.5
146.1147.6
Auto19.3
Teleop116.1
End11.4
Second
69
#20
124.20.1
124.4124.5
Auto17.7
Teleop93.8
End16.0
blue by 13.2
246
#11
137.40.6
134.9135.5
Auto21.7
Teleop102.2
End14.7
Third
5752
#39
108.71.0
105.8106.8
Auto16.7
Teleop83.0
End11.0
red by 16.4
6301
#32
92.30.2
91.491.6
Auto13.4
Teleop73.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed