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Red220
885123.8
3499104.8
492997.7
Blue436
6161117.2
5494132.2
6763173.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1953940100300500600700220436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
885
#30
123.81.4
126.1124.7
Auto15.6
Teleop96.5
End12.4
blue by 49.3
173.12.2
164.1166.3
Auto20.4
Teleop134.7
End17.9
Second
3499
#34
104.80.1
102.6102.7
Auto14.3
Teleop76.2
End13.5
blue by 27.4
5494
#24
132.20.3
128.9129.2
Auto17.3
Teleop102.3
End13.6
Third
4929
#41
97.70.6
98.697.9
Auto13.3
Teleop72.5
End12.0
blue by 19.5
6161
#29
117.20.1
117.6117.7
Auto18.5
Teleop83.8
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
4%Auto Quest oddsMissed69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed