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Red267
5347109.2
5491103.8
2523136.4
Blue475
3597132.4
1922112.9
125211.5
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2264050100300500600700267475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2523
#16
136.40.8
132.3133.1
Auto16.6
Teleop97.4
End26.0
blue by 75.1
125
#1
211.51.7
199.8201.6
Auto28.8
Teleop154.7
End31.6
Second
5347
#12
109.21.0
111.0110.0
Auto18.0
Teleop80.9
End10.3
blue by 23.2
132.41.1
125.6126.7
Auto16.4
Teleop101.0
End17.2
Third
5491
#40
103.80.4
104.6104.3
Auto13.2
Teleop78.1
End13.3
blue by 9.1
1922
#21
112.90.4
112.5112.1
Auto15.8
Teleop81.6
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned