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Red202
176193.2
4311109.3
6529111.0
Blue385
246137.4
1721162.9
7269105.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195387100300500600700202385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6529
#38
111.01.5
107.1108.6
Auto15.0
Teleop87.6
End9.1
blue by 51.9
162.91.5
156.9158.4
Auto18.1
Teleop116.6
End30.5
Second
4311
#31
109.30.9
105.9106.8
Auto17.8
Teleop84.7
End7.6
blue by 28.1
246
#11
137.40.3
135.5135.8
Auto21.7
Teleop102.2
End14.7
Third
1761
#37
93.20.9
94.193.2
Auto14.6
Teleop76.2
End4.0
blue by 12.6
7269
#28
105.82.0
102.0104.0
Auto15.9
Teleop80.3
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed65%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed