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Quarterfinal 1-12018 NE District SE Mass Event
Red399
78183.5
58153.1
6620131.2
Blue284
6201135.6
178138.1
5563141.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3872930100200500600700399284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#3
183.50.5
180.6→181.1
Auto25.9
Teleop130.4
End28.4
red by 42.3
5563
#15
141.20.3
140.6→140.9
Auto15.1
Teleop111.8
End14.7
Second
58
#1
153.10.4
150.5→150.9
Auto17.8
Teleop119.9
End17.2
red by 15.1
178
#13
138.10.7
136.8→137.5
Auto16.7
Teleop107.7
End16.1
Third
6620
#25
131.20.3
129.3→129.6
Auto14.6
Teleop101.0
End15.5
blue by 4.3
6201
#19
135.60.5
134.5→135.0
Auto17.0
Teleop104.5
End14.3